Existing home sales in October rose 2% to 5.6 million units, a level not seen in 9 1/2 years. Does that mean that we can finally say the recession is behind us? The difference this time is the lack of spec house building and that new construction in general has lagged demand considerably. Our market is certainly lagging in building. Areas like CB South and Skyland have a shortage of available properties for sale, but vacant land is still a lagging sector. In cities like NY the situation is different, as there has been a great influx of new development, especially at the high end of the market, and prices are starting to fall there.We should be in good shape now that the election is behind us and hopefully the economy will start picking up. I'm optimistic.
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The Crested Butte ski resort, along with 13 other ski resorts, has sold to a hedge fund. See Denver Post article here.
I am a little troubled by the comparison of the sale to a mortgage being sold to another mortgage servicer. In the case of a mortgage, the debt holder gets verification of insurance: in case of trouble, the insurance will cover major issues thus rendering the deal hedged. In this case, there has to be some insurance, likely in the form of a lease cancellation clause. If the resort managers, (i.e. the Mueller family) fails to manage properly, the owners, (i.e.the Och-Ziff hedge fund) can terminate that relationship. Given what we have seen from the Muellers since they started managing CBMR, I would say that their ability to manage well is certainly hindered by a lack of attention, be it their presence or money being put towards improvements. They have had some substantial real estate misses here and with the latest lawsuit they lost related to the Prospect subdivision, I think their perceived ability to improve the ski area is certainly compromised. Hopefully the new owners will be able to exercise a termination clause and get better managers here. In the meantime, with local real estate all is well. I always consider us a great summer resort with skiing adding nothing to real estate valuations. If something were to happen on the mountain and it were to improve the skiing experience, it would only create upside to our market. Hopefully that will happen one day, but this deal potentially puts us a step closer. |
AuthorDiane Aronovic is a former Managing Director at B of A Securities, and a real estate agent in Crested Butte, CO Archives
August 2019
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